how to identify the right candidate for a job

There is a conversation that happens in boardrooms across Nigeria and the wider African continent with uncomfortable regularity. A senior leader, a Managing Director, a Chief Financial Officer, and a Country Head have not worked out. The decision to part ways has been made. The room is quiet. And then someone asks the question that should have been asked before the hire: “How did we end up here?” It is rarely a story of hiring someone obviously unqualified. The candidate usually had an impressive CV, interviewed confidently, and came with references that said all the right things. The failure is more subtle — and more preventable — than that. This article is about what bad executive hires actually cost, why they happen, and what organisations that consistently get senior hiring right do differently. If you are a CHRO, a board member, or a CEO who has a senior hire on the horizon, this is worth reading before you start. The number that shocks most boards Let’s start with the cost — because the full picture is one that most organisations have never properly calculated. The instinct is to measure the cost of a failed executive hire by their salary. If your new MD earns ₦30 million per annum and leaves after ten months, the instinct is to think you’ve lost ₦25 million or so. That is a serious underestimate. The real cost is assembled from a range of line items that rarely sit on the same spreadsheet: Compensation paid ₦25M 10 months’ salary + benefits Severance & legal ₦15M+ Typically 3–6 months Lost productivity ₦40M+ Delayed decisions, team drag Talent attrition ₦12M+ Replacing staff who leave Re-hire cost ₦8M+ Fees, management time Add those up, and you are looking at ₦100 million or more on a role that pays ₦30 million. Research from global HR bodies consistently finds that the total cost of a failed executive hire lands between two and five times the executive’s annual salary. At the C-suite level, with longer notice periods, more complex severance arrangements, and deeper organisational disruption, the multiplier is typically at the higher end of that range. And those figures still do not capture what is perhaps the most significant cost of all: the opportunity cost. The revenue was not generated because the commercial leader lacked the relationships to open doors. The market share was surrendered because strategic decisions were delayed. The high-performing team members who quietly updated their CVs after six months of poor leadership and left for a competitor. These costs do not appear on any invoice. But they are real, and they compound. “The board saw the salary. They didn’t see the ₦40 million in lost productivity sitting underneath it.” Why bad executive hires happen: three root causes In conducting executive searches across Nigeria and the broader African market, we have seen failed senior hires trace back, almost without exception, to one of three avoidable causes. Understanding them is the first step to eliminating them. 1. A brief built on the wrong question Most hiring briefs are written to answer the question: “What kind of person do we need?” That sounds right. But in practice, it often produces a wish list assembled from the characteristics the organisation admired in past leaders — or resented in the one they just let go. The more useful question is: “What does this business genuinely need at this stage of its growth — and what kind of leader would thrive in this specific environment, with these specific stakeholders, facing these specific challenges?” A company that needs to stabilise operations, restore team morale, and rebuild trust with key clients needs a very different MD from a company that needs to drive aggressive expansion into three new markets in eighteen months. Even if the job title is the same. Even if the salary band is identical. Getting the brief wrong means the entire search is optimised for the wrong outcome. 2. Searching only in the visible talent pool When a company posts a senior role and waits for applications, it is making a significant structural error, one that is so common it has become invisible. The problem is this: the executives who are most in demand, most accomplished, and most likely to transform your organisation are almost universally not applying for jobs. They are employed, performing well, and valued where they are. They are passive candidates. They will only move when the right conversation, handled with the right level of care, confidentiality, and compelling opportunity, reaches them. Restricting an executive search to active candidates means systematically excluding the strongest ones. You are not choosing from the full market. You are choosing from the fraction of it that is, for whatever reason, available right now. 3. Compressed assessment in a high-stakes decision A polished CV and a confident two-hour interview are genuinely insufficient grounds for a ₦50 million decision. Yet this combination is still the primary basis on which many African organisations make their senior hires. The gaps that lead to failed hires are rarely about technical competence — they are about character, leadership philosophy, cultural fit, stress response, and how someone behaves when things do not go according to plan. A well-designed psychometric assessment, a structured behavioural interview process, and a serious reference conversation — not a courtesy call, but a probing discussion with someone who has seen the candidate at their best and worst — can surface these things before the hire. Skipping them means discovering them on the job. At significant cost. What consistently good executive hiring looks like The organisations across Africa that have a strong track record of senior hiring share a set of habits that distinguish them from those who are repeatedly surprised by the results of their appointments. They start with the role, not the candidate. Before a name is approached, they invest real time, often in partnership with a search firm, in defining the mandate precisely. What is this leader being hired to do? What does success look like